Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 27 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 18 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 5-11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 8 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter