Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -13 (119-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 9-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 19 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-25 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 30 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter