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2023-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% -
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (132-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 8-15 3-10 1-2 10 4 0 1 20 20 -
Klay Thompson * 33 9-21 8-15 0-0 4 4 0 0 26 13 -
Draymond Green * 31 2-6 0-1 4-5 4 7 2 1 8 16 -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 4-13 2-8 1-4 5 3 0 0 11 6 -
Kevon Looney * 26 4-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 9 13 -
Jordan Poole 26 5-8 1-4 4-4 2 3 2 0 15 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo 25 3-7 3-6 0-0 4 5 1 1 9 13 -
Anthony Lamb 21 4-5 2-3 4-5 4 2 0 1 14 16 -
Moses Moody 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Ty Jerome 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 6 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 40 5-9 2-5 0-0 1 6 2 0 12 12 -
Zach LaVine * 40 7-18 1-8 12-14 9 6 1 1 27 26 -
Nikola Vucevic * 39 18-31 5-10 2-2 13 4 4 0 43 33 -
Patrick Williams * 31 3-8 3-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 10 6 -
Alex Caruso * 30 4-10 2-6 2-2 9 7 2 0 12 20 -
Coby White 25 6-7 2-2 1-1 3 1 2 0 15 14 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 2-6 0-1 3-3 1 3 1 0 7 6 -
Goran Dragic 9 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Dalen Terry 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter