Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (136-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 1-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 33 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 28 | 8-10 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 12 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 29 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 29 | 11-20 | 4-11 | 10-10 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 31 | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 22 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 31 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter