Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 26 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 18 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter