Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -18 (112-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 25 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 23 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 2-13 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 23 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 23 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 29 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 18 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter