Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.6% | 10.4% | -11.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -16 (106-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 12-27 | 4-14 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 31 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 26 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 38 | 11-27 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter