Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +25 (139-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 11-20 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter