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2023-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: LA Clippers -12 (103-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 39 8-17 4-7 4-4 8 4 0 0 24 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 6-8 2-3 3-5 5 5 0 0 17 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 31 9-17 2-8 2-2 4 3 1 1 22 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 5-9 3-5 1-2 2 2 2 1 14 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Bruce Brown 24 2-7 1-3 4-5 3 4 1 1 9 - -
Bones Hyland 20 3-12 1-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Zeke Nnaji 19 3-5 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Vlatko Cancar 16 1-3 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 5 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 10-20 0-3 4-4 8 4 1 0 24 - -
Terance Mann * 32 3-7 1-3 1-1 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 29 7-14 1-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Ivica Zubac * 27 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 6 - -
Nicolas Batum * 26 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
John Wall 29 6-12 2-4 2-2 7 4 1 0 16 - -
Norman Powell 28 7-15 3-9 1-2 4 2 1 2 18 - -
Robert Covington 15 3-5 2-3 0-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Moses Brown 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter