Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✓ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -31 (113-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 31 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 25 | 7-17 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 18 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter