Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 39 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 36 | 6-16 | 6-10 | 8-9 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 34 | 8-16 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 14 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 39 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 5-15 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 2-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 31 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - |
* = starter