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2023-01-14

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% -
Points Off/Def 65.4% 34.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 8-19 2-7 1-2 4 9 1 0 19 - -
Naji Marshall * 34 6-11 2-3 3-4 6 4 1 0 17 - -
Trey Murphy III * 34 6-11 3-8 4-4 2 2 2 1 19 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 12-15 1-3 8-10 16 3 0 1 33 - -
Dyson Daniels * 24 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 29 3-14 1-4 0-0 4 4 2 1 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 1-1 0-0 3-6 9 1 1 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 2-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Devonte' Graham 13 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 36 9-19 1-7 3-5 3 2 0 1 22 - -
Jaden Ivey * 34 4-15 0-6 4-5 7 6 0 0 12 - -
Killian Hayes * 30 7-10 3-3 0-0 2 6 2 0 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 5-14 1-4 9-10 10 3 1 1 20 - -
Nerlens Noel * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 27 9-11 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 0 19 - -
Isaiah Livers 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Alec Burks 19 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Rodney McGruder 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter