Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 52 | 14-28 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 51 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 48 | 9-21 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 47 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 47 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 9-28 | 0-7 | 6-10 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 38 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 40 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 37 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 33 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 19 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter