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2023-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (124-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 40 11-19 4-10 6-9 4 7 2 0 32 - -
Terry Rozier * 37 8-16 3-7 2-2 3 5 1 0 21 - -
P.J. Washington * 35 4-12 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 1 11 - -
Mason Plumlee * 34 6-6 0-0 4-6 15 4 1 1 16 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 27 4-11 1-5 1-2 5 0 1 0 10 - -
Cody Martin 21 3-4 1-2 2-3 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 7 0 0 5 - -
Nick Richards 13 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 2 7 - -
JT Thor 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Bryce McGowens 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 11-13 3-3 10-12 7 3 0 1 35 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 6-15 3-8 0-0 4 4 4 1 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 6-19 2-11 5-5 2 1 2 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 34 8-14 0-0 5-6 7 9 0 2 21 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 8 2 0 11 - -
Precious Achiuwa 17 4-7 1-3 1-3 2 0 5 0 10 - -
Malachi Flynn 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 12 1-1 0-0 3-3 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 10 2-3 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Christian Koloko 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter