Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (108-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 30 | 6-16 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 27 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 19 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 41 | 10-17 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter