Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +20 (135-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 9-25 | 3-12 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 26 | 9-13 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter