Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +29 (126-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. * | 24 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 23 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 25 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 22 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 23 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter