Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (135-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 11-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 30 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 22 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 22 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 14-25 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 17 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter