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2023-01-12

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.2% 85.8% -
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (125-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 37 6-15 2-5 4-4 7 3 0 1 18 - -
Trey Murphy III * 33 7-11 1-4 0-0 6 1 3 1 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 15-24 6-12 2-5 4 4 1 1 38 - -
Dyson Daniels * 25 3-6 1-2 0-1 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 23 5-10 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 3-9 0-3 3-3 1 3 0 1 9 - -
Devonte' Graham 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Dereon Seabron 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Williams * 37 3-9 1-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-22 3-8 8-10 10 4 1 0 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 15-21 3-6 8-9 12 0 0 1 41 - -
Al Horford * 31 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 4 1 1 14 - -
Derrick White * 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 6 2 1 5 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 25 7-11 2-5 4-4 4 4 2 0 20 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 1-6 1-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 2 - -
Sam Hauser 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Jackson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter