Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 22 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 21 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 39 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 14 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
* = starter