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2023-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 โœ— (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons +17 (135-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 37 7-14 5-8 0-0 2 5 1 0 19 - -
Rudy Gobert * 32 6-8 0-0 4-6 14 0 2 0 16 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 11 - -
Austin Rivers * 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 3 3 1 8 - -
Anthony Edwards * 24 8-18 2-7 2-2 1 6 0 0 20 - -
Taurean Prince 27 3-9 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Jaylen Nowell 16 3-8 0-3 2-4 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 13 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Bryn Forbes 11 2-5 1-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Matt Ryan 9 2-3 2-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Nathan Knight 8 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 40 7-11 2-3 2-4 4 8 3 0 18 - -
Saddiq Bey * 37 10-16 4-6 7-8 6 1 1 0 31 - -
Killian Hayes * 34 7-14 1-6 3-3 3 9 1 1 18 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 9-15 5-8 4-5 6 4 1 1 27 - -
Nerlens Noel * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 4 2 - -
Hamidou Diallo 25 7-8 0-0 4-6 5 1 1 0 18 - -
Alec Burks 20 4-7 3-3 2-2 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Isaiah Livers 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Kevin Knox II 9 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter