Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +17 (135-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 37 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 24 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 27 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 40 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 37 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 25 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 20 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter