Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 34 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 42 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 12-25 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter