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2023-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (132-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 38 9-22 4-9 2-2 4 14 0 0 24 - -
Terry Rozier * 35 14-19 5-9 0-0 5 5 1 0 33 - -
Mason Plumlee * 33 9-10 0-0 3-5 7 3 0 0 21 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 5-8 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 2 13 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 29 3-7 1-2 4-6 7 2 1 1 11 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 23 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 6 3 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Mark Williams 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 4 - -
JT Thor 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 35 10-16 2-6 6-9 8 7 0 0 28 - -
Fred VanVleet * 32 3-10 2-7 3-3 7 8 0 0 11 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 31 6-14 4-10 8-8 2 1 2 1 24 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 30 8-12 6-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 22 - -
Scottie Barnes * 30 2-5 0-1 3-4 5 7 1 0 7 - -
Christian Koloko 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 6 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 1-7 1-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 14 5-6 1-2 1-1 7 2 1 0 12 - -
Precious Achiuwa 13 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 13 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter