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2023-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 โœ— (32.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +31 (147-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 34 4-14 0-6 9-9 4 2 0 1 17 - -
Kevin Knox II * 32 5-11 2-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Killian Hayes * 25 2-11 1-3 0-1 1 6 2 0 5 - -
Jaden Ivey * 24 4-8 3-5 6-6 2 4 1 0 17 - -
Nerlens Noel * 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 3 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo 25 6-9 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 0 14 - -
Rodney McGruder 23 5-8 5-6 2-3 0 0 1 0 17 - -
Cory Joseph 21 2-7 1-5 5-6 1 8 1 0 10 - -
Alec Burks 20 5-13 1-5 5-5 2 0 1 1 16 - -
Jared Rhoden 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 26 6-6 2-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 14 - -
James Harden * 26 6-7 2-3 2-3 12 15 2 0 16 - -
Joel Embiid * 23 12-20 1-3 11-11 11 1 0 2 36 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 23 6-11 1-4 3-3 1 2 1 0 16 - -
P.J. Tucker * 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Shake Milton 23 4-6 0-1 3-3 1 7 0 2 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 4-10 1-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Montrezl Harrell 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-4 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Danuel House Jr. 11 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Georges Niang 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 10 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 3 6 - -
Matisse Thybulle 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Jaden Springer 8 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 10 - -

* = starter