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2023-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (32.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +31 (147-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 34 4-14 0-6 9-9 4 2 0 1 17 10 -
Kevin Knox II * 32 5-11 2-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 13 5 -
Killian Hayes * 25 2-11 1-3 0-1 1 6 2 0 5 3 -
Jaden Ivey * 24 4-8 3-5 6-6 2 4 1 0 17 16 -
Nerlens Noel * 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 3 5 10 -
Hamidou Diallo 25 6-9 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 0 14 16 -
Rodney McGruder 23 5-8 5-6 2-3 0 0 1 0 17 10 -
Cory Joseph 21 2-7 1-5 5-6 1 8 1 0 10 13 -
Alec Burks 20 5-13 1-5 5-5 2 0 1 1 16 7 -
Jared Rhoden 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 26 6-6 2-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 14 17 -
James Harden * 26 6-7 2-3 2-3 12 15 2 0 16 38 -
Joel Embiid * 23 12-20 1-3 11-11 11 1 0 2 36 30 -
Tyrese Maxey * 23 6-11 1-4 3-3 1 2 1 0 16 9 -
P.J. Tucker * 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 8 -
Shake Milton 23 4-6 0-1 3-3 1 7 0 2 11 15 -
De'Anthony Melton 17 4-10 1-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 9 8 -
Montrezl Harrell 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 8 7 -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-4 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Danuel House Jr. 11 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
Georges Niang 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Paul Reed 10 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 3 6 11 -
Matisse Thybulle 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 4 -
Jaden Springer 8 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 10 10 -

* = starter