Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +25 (136-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 28 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 11-13 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 26 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 21 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter