Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 25 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 30 | 10-21 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 24 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 13-29 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter