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2023-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 6-15 1-3 9-12 10 5 0 2 22 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 5-14 3-9 2-2 5 9 0 0 15 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 7-16 3-9 0-1 7 2 1 3 17 - -
Pat Connaughton * 31 4-8 3-7 0-0 11 4 0 0 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 28 3-6 2-3 3-3 3 0 2 0 11 - -
Joe Ingles 28 6-14 5-11 0-0 3 5 0 0 17 - -
Bobby Portis 19 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Jevon Carter 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 11 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 42 9-14 3-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 23 - -
Julius Randle * 39 9-29 1-12 6-7 16 5 2 0 25 - -
Jalen Brunson * 38 15-30 4-10 10-10 7 4 0 0 44 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 37 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 1 2 - -
Quentin Grimes * 33 1-7 0-3 2-2 8 1 2 0 4 - -
Miles McBride 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Evan Fournier 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 10 0-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter