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2023-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 41 10-24 4-13 3-3 7 6 1 0 27 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 9-15 3-6 0-2 13 1 0 0 21 - -
Patrick Williams * 29 3-8 3-5 1-2 2 1 3 0 10 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 23 6-9 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Coby White 19 1-7 0-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso 19 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 6 - -
Goran Dragic 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond 14 2-4 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 0 6 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 7-21 0-8 5-5 5 3 0 1 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 10-21 4-11 8-8 8 7 1 0 32 - -
Al Horford * 33 3-6 2-5 0-0 7 5 1 1 8 - -
Derrick White * 30 3-9 0-3 2-2 5 4 0 1 8 - -
Robert Williams III * 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 2 6 - -
Grant Williams 36 8-15 3-9 1-2 8 1 0 2 20 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 21 3-9 1-4 4-4 7 3 0 0 11 - -
Sam Hauser 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter