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2023-01-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 ✓ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - ✓
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -20 (112-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 33 7-19 1-5 3-5 3 4 1 0 18 - -
CJ McCollum * 30 12-21 4-8 6-6 5 1 2 1 34 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 10-15 0-0 7-8 12 1 0 0 27 - -
Trey Murphy III * 22 3-9 0-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 6 - -
Herbert Jones * 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 1 6 - -
Jose Alvarado 24 3-5 2-2 2-2 4 5 1 0 10 - -
Dyson Daniels 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 - -
Devonte' Graham 17 3-5 2-4 3-4 1 6 1 1 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Dereon Seabron 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 33 5-12 5-10 2-2 5 1 1 0 17 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 8-16 3-5 4-4 10 1 0 0 23 - -
Monte Morris * 26 6-8 1-2 0-0 1 9 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 23 5-6 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 23 6-13 3-8 4-4 8 2 0 0 19 - -
Rui Hachimura 27 4-12 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Deni Avdija 21 2-6 0-2 0-2 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Goodwin 17 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 4 - -
Delon Wright 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 4 - -
Taj Gibson 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Gill 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter