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2023-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -4 (108-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 37 8-18 0-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 16 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 8-13 1-2 3-3 4 2 2 0 20 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 34 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 3 5 - -
Trae Young * 34 9-17 3-6 9-9 2 8 1 0 30 - -
John Collins * 30 6-10 1-3 0-0 9 0 0 3 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 25 2-13 0-7 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 - -
Jalen Johnson 15 5-6 2-3 1-2 4 0 2 1 13 - -
Frank Kaminsky 11 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 4 - -
AJ Griffin 10 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 7 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 9-23 2-4 9-10 7 4 2 0 29 - -
Ivica Zubac * 37 6-9 0-0 5-6 18 3 0 1 17 - -
Terance Mann * 34 5-11 1-2 3-3 8 4 2 0 14 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 29 6-16 3-10 0-0 6 2 2 1 15 - -
Nicolas Batum * 28 2-6 1-5 1-2 5 3 0 1 6 - -
Norman Powell 31 3-13 2-5 6-8 3 4 0 0 14 - -
John Wall 21 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 1 5 - -
Moses Brown 9 4-7 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 1 8 - -
Reggie Jackson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter