Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 38 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 6-18 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter