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2023-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 56.4% 43.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 37 8-12 0-0 2-3 11 0 0 1 18 18 -
Anthony Edwards * 36 6-19 3-7 6-6 4 3 1 2 21 12 -
Kyle Anderson * 34 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 6 4 1 6 19 -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 6-13 4-7 6-6 3 6 0 0 22 18 -
Jaden McDaniels * 31 5-9 1-4 1-3 9 3 2 0 12 17 -
Taurean Prince 26 6-10 2-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 14 8 -
Austin Rivers 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jaylen Nowell 11 1-6 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 1 -
Naz Reid 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 6 8 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 37 9-15 5-9 2-4 6 5 1 1 25 23 -
Alperen Sengun * 35 8-15 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 1 18 14 -
Jalen Green * 33 4-15 1-6 0-0 5 5 2 0 9 6 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 4-12 0-5 1-2 6 2 3 1 9 9 -
Eric Gordon * 29 4-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 1 11 10 -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 5-8 1-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 12 11 -
Jae'Sean Tate 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 7 -
Tari Eason 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 3 6 -
Usman Garuba 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
Garrison Mathews 7 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -

* = starter