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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Miami Heat -1 (101-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 40 10-21 6-15 3-4 1 6 1 0 29 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 3-11 1-7 1-1 6 6 1 2 8 - -
Kevin Durant * 30 5-11 1-3 6-7 5 2 1 1 17 - -
Nic Claxton * 30 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 3 13 - -
Ben Simmons * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 1 4 - -
Seth Curry 24 6-9 1-3 1-1 3 0 1 1 14 - -
Yuta Watanabe 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 - -
T.J. Warren 17 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Joe Harris 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Herro * 37 8-21 5-13 3-3 4 2 0 0 24 - -
Jimmy Butler * 34 9-21 1-4 7-9 8 1 2 0 26 - -
Kyle Lowry * 31 2-10 0-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 - -
Bam Adebayo * 28 5-15 0-0 0-3 8 2 0 1 10 - -
Haywood Highsmith * 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Victor Oladipo 26 2-10 2-7 2-2 2 6 3 1 8 - -
Max Strus 26 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Orlando Robinson 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 6 - -
Gabe Vincent 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 - -

* = starter