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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 36 8-17 2-6 4-4 5 3 2 0 22 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 5-15 2-9 7-8 6 6 2 0 19 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 34 7-14 2-5 1-2 6 1 1 1 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 31 6-10 0-0 6-6 13 2 0 0 18 - -
LaMelo Ball * 24 5-12 3-8 0-0 2 8 0 0 13 - -
Cody Martin 25 1-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 23 2-5 0-1 3-3 1 4 1 1 7 - -
Mark Williams 16 2-6 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 1 7 - -
JT Thor 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 4-10 2-6 6-6 5 13 3 0 16 - -
Myles Turner * 34 10-16 1-3 8-10 9 0 1 4 29 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 31 7-11 4-5 1-1 0 4 4 1 19 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 31 5-7 0-2 5-7 6 2 4 0 15 - -
Buddy Hield * 31 7-21 4-12 3-4 1 2 0 1 21 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 26 1-9 0-3 2-3 5 3 0 1 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 10 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 13 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Chris Duarte 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter