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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 ✓ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 42 6-14 3-9 7-8 0 2 0 0 22 - -
Damian Lillard * 40 11-23 3-7 9-12 4 8 2 1 34 - -
Josh Hart * 39 7-12 1-3 3-3 8 3 1 0 18 - -
Jerami Grant * 39 4-11 1-6 5-6 5 0 1 1 14 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 37 5-9 0-2 4-6 18 4 1 1 14 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jabari Walker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Johnson 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Trendon Watford 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 38 8-19 2-4 9-11 4 6 2 1 27 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 6-16 2-4 5-6 4 1 2 1 19 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 5-12 4-9 0-0 6 7 0 0 14 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 33 4-11 2-4 4-4 5 2 4 1 14 - -
Scottie Barnes * 29 7-12 1-3 7-8 9 4 3 2 22 - -
Christian Koloko 13 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Precious Achiuwa 10 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Chris Boucher 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -

* = starter