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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - ✗
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 ✗ (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 69.6% 30.4% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -12 (111-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 33 8-18 2-9 5-6 0 2 1 0 23 - -
James Harden * 28 7-14 3-5 3-4 11 11 0 1 20 - -
Tobias Harris * 27 5-11 0-2 2-2 4 0 2 2 12 - -
Montrezl Harrell * 23 8-11 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 1 20 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Shake Milton 25 3-7 1-3 1-2 5 6 0 0 8 - -
Paul Reed 24 6-7 0-0 4-4 12 1 3 0 16 - -
Matisse Thybulle 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 5 0 5 - -
Georges Niang 19 5-10 3-8 1-1 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. 5 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 35 7-17 1-4 5-5 2 5 1 0 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 35 7-15 0-3 6-7 13 2 1 0 20 - -
Killian Hayes * 33 11-17 4-8 0-0 4 6 3 1 26 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 - -
Jaden Ivey * 27 4-13 1-2 1-2 6 6 0 0 10 - -
Hamidou Diallo 27 6-9 0-0 0-1 7 1 2 0 12 - -
Alec Burks 22 4-6 1-2 3-3 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Nerlens Noel 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -

* = starter