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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (134-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 38 8-11 4-5 7-7 4 2 0 0 27 22 -
LeBron James * 37 14-28 1-6 8-9 8 7 1 0 37 25 -
Thomas Bryant * 34 12-14 0-0 5-7 14 0 1 1 29 31 -
Patrick Beverley * 25 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
Russell Westbrook 33 7-14 2-5 7-10 5 15 0 1 23 30 -
Max Christie 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kendrick Nunn 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
Wenyen Gabriel 13 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 5 -
Sterling Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 39 7-15 3-9 0-0 6 3 2 1 17 14 -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 11-21 0-2 12-14 2 9 0 0 34 24 -
Harrison Barnes * 36 4-9 2-5 8-10 2 1 0 1 18 13 -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 10-17 0-2 5-7 12 7 0 1 25 28 -
Keegan Murray * 29 6-8 4-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 16 11 -
Davion Mitchell 18 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
Trey Lyles 13 2-4 2-2 5-6 5 0 0 1 11 13 -
Richaun Holmes 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 6 -
Terence Davis 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 -
KZ Okpala 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Matthew Dellavedova 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter