Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (127-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 38 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 10-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 15 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 11-15 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 23 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter