Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.1% | 19.9% | -7.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (116-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 12-26 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 13-26 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 28 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Collins * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 30 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 28 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 19 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter