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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 ✓ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (130-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 5-13 2-5 4-6 8 0 0 0 16 - -
John Collins * 37 7-18 0-5 2-3 8 2 0 3 16 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 7-18 2-4 0-1 1 6 1 0 16 - -
Trae Young * 34 12-24 2-8 6-7 5 9 3 0 32 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 28 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 1 10 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 3-7 0-3 4-4 3 2 1 1 10 - -
AJ Griffin 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 2-5 1-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Johnson 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Frank Kaminsky 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Vit Krejci 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 34 7-14 5-8 2-3 2 1 0 0 21 - -
LeBron James * 32 10-19 1-5 4-6 7 10 0 0 25 - -
Thomas Bryant * 27 8-12 1-2 2-2 13 0 1 1 19 - -
Patrick Beverley * 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 1 5 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 4 - -
Russell Westbrook 30 7-14 2-4 2-2 11 9 2 1 18 - -
Kendrick Nunn 26 9-16 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 23 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 19 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Max Christie 16 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 8 - -
Sterling Brown 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cole Swider 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter