Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 38 | 5-15 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 34 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 26 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 39 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 10-20 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 24 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter