Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (121-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter