Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 31 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 21 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 16 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter