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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 8.9% 91.1% - ✓
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.1 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (127-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 7-14 2-5 7-8 5 7 1 0 23 - -
Corey Kispert * 26 2-8 1-3 2-2 7 0 1 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 25 7-8 0-0 1-5 9 2 0 1 15 - -
Monte Morris * 25 4-8 1-3 1-2 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 24 3-11 0-2 8-10 10 0 0 0 14 - -
Jordan Goodwin 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Delon Wright 19 3-5 0-2 3-3 2 4 2 0 9 - -
Rui Hachimura 18 2-9 0-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Deni Avdija 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Will Barton 17 5-8 2-5 2-3 4 3 0 0 14 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 37 9-16 2-2 0-0 6 9 1 0 20 - -
Jalen Williams * 33 7-13 2-4 2-2 8 3 2 0 18 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 33 12-23 1-4 5-6 3 4 1 2 30 - -
Mike Muscala * 24 4-10 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 2 10 - -
Luguentz Dort * 22 6-8 3-4 3-4 6 4 1 0 18 - -
Kenrich Williams 24 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 24 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 8 - -
Tre Mann 23 3-11 2-8 0-0 4 4 0 1 8 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 14 2-3 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Lindy Waters III 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Wiggins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter