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2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -14 (112-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 14-19 11-13 2-2 2 6 2 1 41 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 4-13 0-2 4-5 5 6 1 1 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 8-14 2-3 1-1 18 10 0 2 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 35 7-11 2-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 18 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 4-9 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Coby White 24 3-7 3-7 0-2 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 3-4 1-1 1-3 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Goran Dragic 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 8 3-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 6 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 9-20 2-7 2-2 11 1 1 1 22 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 8-15 5-7 5-6 3 6 1 0 26 - -
James Harden * 33 4-17 3-9 6-8 7 11 1 0 17 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 26 3-8 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 1 9 - -
P.J. Tucker * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Shake Milton 23 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Montrezl Harrell 22 8-12 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 17 - -
Georges Niang 20 4-7 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Paul Reed 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter