Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 40 | 7-20 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 35 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 7-24 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter