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2023-01-06

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (27.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +31 (122-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 18 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Reggie Jackson * 17 1-6 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Ivica Zubac * 15 2-2 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 14 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Paul George * 13 1-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Terance Mann 23 5-9 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Luke Kennard 23 2-9 0-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Robert Covington 23 3-9 0-4 2-2 5 2 2 1 8 - -
Norman Powell 19 6-11 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Amir Coffey 19 2-7 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Moses Brown 18 5-6 0-0 2-7 10 0 0 1 12 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 15 0-5 0-2 4-6 2 4 1 0 4 - -
Jason Preston 15 2-4 2-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 3-8 3-5 0-0 4 5 1 0 9 - -
Nikola Jokic * 24 4-8 0-1 4-5 6 9 1 0 12 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 22 4-10 1-5 1-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Aaron Gordon * 21 5-7 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 0 13 - -
Jamal Murray * 21 7-10 4-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 18 - -
Vlatko Cancar 26 6-12 1-3 2-2 12 1 1 1 15 - -
Zeke Nnaji 23 5-6 0-1 3-3 6 2 1 1 13 - -
Bruce Brown 22 3-6 1-4 2-2 6 3 2 2 9 - -
Bones Hyland 19 5-11 3-7 3-3 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Christian Braun 12 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Davon Reed 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 - -
Ish Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter