Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -6.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -29 (95-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 8-22 | 2-8 | 11-12 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 34 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 40 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 7-23 | 0-6 | 9-11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter